Posted in Health, news, Sports

NFL Injury Report and Game Predictions

For years I’ve been dissecting the NFL Injury Report and predicting who would win during the playoffs and Superbowl. When you’re a doctor who loves football, its not that difficult.

So my success has prompted me to make the risky move of posting my strategy and results.  There are varying levels of theory, just like layers of the epidermis.  And each deeper layer of prediction should confirm the simpler ones.  But if I can’t scientifically deduce the winner, I wing it.

Method 1 – Number game

Let’s take for example Thursday night’s game between the Jets and the Bills.  According the NFL injury report, there were 6 injuries reported for the Jets and 8 for the Bills.  A novice may just say 6 is less than 8 so the Jets will win.  But as a physician, this is not good enough.   We need to also look at the types of injuries.

Method 2 – Anatomy counts

According to the NFL Injury report, the Jets sustained injuries to the calf, foot, shoulders and ankle.  The Bills sustained injuries to the foot, ankle, knee, shoulder, but also hamstring.  Yes, Kevon Seymor’s hamstring injury is very telling. Why?

Think about when you were playing football.  If you hurt a finger you still played.  If you sprained your knee, you toughed it out. But what happened when you sustained a groin injury.  You were leveled.  Probably couldn’t even get up.  So any injury involving the groin is physically devastating for a player, and from a psychological standpoint, the whole team.

If a groin injury specifically is not incurred and reported by the NFL injury report, then you look at the injuries closest to the groin.  A head injury is also very concerning so that will come after groin.  Hence the scale from most devastating to least in terms of injured body parts listed is:

Groin < head < hip< < glute < quad < hamstring  < abdomen < chest < knee < shoulder < calf < arm < ankle < foot < wrist < hand < finger < toe.  

The Bill’s hamstring injury is closer to the groin than any other injury hence the team wasn’t looking very good for Thursday night’s game.

If specific injuries are not listed, we can sometimes count how many did not participate in practice.

 

Method 3 – Colors 

In case of a tie….meaning both teams sustained equal numbers of groin injuries or subsequent proximal body parts, we look to the main colors of the Jersey.  Black, Blue, Green and Yellow will fare worse than White and Red, Brown. In medicine, Black may happen with necrosis, Blue is associated with hypoxia, Green- mucous, Yellow – gonorrhea.  White and Red are fairly routine and healthy colors in medicine (bones and blood).  Silver and Purple are colors that are fairly neutral as we usually don’t see those colors on a routine basis in medicine unless with hair.

Therefore, the color scale from most problematic to least is:

Black < Blue < Yellow < Green < Orange < Purple < Silver < White < Red.

Again this is only used if predictions cannot be made due to an anatomical tie.  Again I must stress we do not use the color method unless we are unable to predict using the NFL injury report.

With Thursday night’s game, the Jets wore white and the Bills wore blue.   But despite this method, the Bills were at a disadvantage with the hamstring injury all along.

 

So what will happen this Sunday?  Let’s use what we learned to predict the winners!!

 

(9 out of 14 not too bad……..)

49’s vs. Panthers  

3 Ankle injuries and 1 Hamstring vs. 1 Ankle Injury and 1 Hamstring

Prediction:  Panthers

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Raven’s vs. Browns

I see a thigh injury for the Ravens and all the Brown’s participated in practice

Prediction:  Browns

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Titans vs. Lions

2 Hamstring injuries vs. none listed.  We will have to assume that the Lions did not have such heavy weighted injures.

Prediction:  Lions

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Chiefs vs. Texans

No injuries vs 1 knee and 1 calf injury

Prediction:  Chiefs

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Dolphins vs. Patriots

1 Hamstring, 2 Knees and 1 ankle vs. none listed

Prediction:  Patriots

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Saints vs. Giants

Two quad inujries vs. 1 illness and 1 shoulder

Prediction:  Giants

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Bengals vs. Steelers

2 Ankles vs foot, ankle, knees

Prediction:  Bengals

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Cowboys vs. Redskins

1 Achilles, 2 Back, 1 Groin vs. 1 Groin, 1 Achilles, 1 Rib and 1 Glute (Glute is in the tushee, devastating)

Prediction:  Cowboys

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Buccaneers vs Cardinals

The hamstring injury sinks the Buccaneers

Prediction:  Cardinals

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Seahawks vs Rams

1 ankle vs 2 thigh injuries

Prediction: Seahawks

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Colts vs Broncos

Concussion and Hamstring vs. ankle and hip, and others

Prediction:  Broncos

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Falcons vs. Raiders

The Raiders had both a groin and concussion injury. not good

Prediction: Falcons

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Jaguars vs. Chargers

Hamstring and “not injury related” vs. Hamstring.  Hmm. Something’s up so….

Prediction: Chargers

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Packers vs. Vikings

A concussion was incurred by a panther’s player vs a Viking’s hip injury.

Prediction: Vikings

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We pray that no one gets hurt and those who do recover quickly.  Here’s to a safe season of one of the best sports ever!!  FOOTBALL!!

Daliah Wachs, MD, FAAFP is a nationally syndicated radio personality on GCN Network and Board Certified Family Physician

 

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Author:

Nationally Syndicated Radio Host, Board Certified Family Medicine Physician, Assistant Professor Touro University Nevada

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